| ID | Category | Risk | Evidence | Impact | Score | Plays | Owner & By When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Political |
Single-threaded through Deepa — no alternate path to leadership
Known |
• Deepa blocks access to Kevin Yip (effective decision maker) and Eric Porres (CDO) • Vercel exec outbound to Eric Porres also failed • Caleb attempting LinkedIn-only outreach to Kevin Yip — no response • No multi-threading strategy in place • Gatekeeping is deliberate — she wants to own the AI narrative internally without CDO oversight |
If Deepa goes cold or deprioritizes, deal stalls completely. No way to reach EB or CDO without her. Win probability drops to near-zero. | 15 5×3 |
P2
P3
P7
|
Caleb — Kevin Yip office visit (San Jose); Conor — Vercel back-channel via Jordan Lillegard for warm intro |
| R2 | Technical |
SDK v6 does not work in Vercel Edge middleware
Known |
• SDK v6+ incompatible with Vercel Edge due to Node.js built-in module dependency • v6 still broken as of 2026-03-11. v4.9 functional at sub-79ms • Siddhant fell back to SDK v4.9/4.10.1 — functional but legacy • This is a scoring criterion on Logitech’s evaluation sheet • Long-term support concern gives LaunchDarkly a talking point |
Negative mark on evaluation scorecard. Long-term support concern gives LaunchDarkly a talking point. Could tip competitive score if not addressed with roadmap commitment. | 10 2×5 |
P5
P9
|
Chris Vafiadis — escalate SDK v6 Edge fix; Conor — prepare roadmap positioning narrative |
| R3 | Technical |
Two open POC acceptance criteria remain after 2/24 readout
Partially Resolved |
• POC readout 2/24 scored 4/6 met. Siddhant "really happy." Stage advanced to proof-of-value. • 2 open items remain: route-change persistence (requires client SDK), PDP-triggered banner (multiple solution paths) • Positive momentum but incomplete resolution |
Open criteria could stall progression to commercial. LaunchDarkly still has opening on unresolved items. Must close gap to maintain momentum. | 12 3×4 |
P5
|
Siddhant (Logitech) + Conor/SE team — resolve remaining 2 items; target week of 3/9. Dual-SDK approach for route-change stickiness. |
| R4 | Commercial |
LaunchDarkly running parallel POC
Known |
• LaunchDarkly POC confirmed active, less advanced than Optimizely’s • No AI/agentic layer, no governance — but developer-focused feature flagging is strong • Our 4/6 POC score gives us lead but not decisive advantage • LaunchDarkly wins on developer simplicity if Optimizely stumbles on open items |
Competitive loss if remaining POC items aren’t resolved. LaunchDarkly wins on developer simplicity if Optimizely stumbles on technical execution. | 9 3×3 |
P4
P5
P9
|
Conor — competitive differentiation talking points (governance, Opal agents, Salesforce +78% / +9% proof point) |
| R5 | Timing |
Logitech AI Approval process status completely unknown
Known |
• RFP requires AI approval for Opal inclusion • No one on Optimizely side has surfaced this process with Logitech • Could involve legal, security, and compliance review • Eric Porres (CDO) likely owns AI governance but is blocked |
Could add weeks or months. Could block Opal entirely, reducing deal to FX-only (not differentiated vs. LaunchDarkly). 03-27 close at risk. | 12 4×3 |
P3
P8
|
Conor — surface in next engagement; Caleb — ask Deepa directly. Position Opal as "experiment governance" to avoid triggering process. |
| R6 | Paper |
Paper process not started — Swiss entity adds complexity
Known |
• Contract entity: Logitech Europe S.A., Lausanne, Switzerland • Francois Stettler signed Vercel contract (assumed European signatory path) • No MSA discussions initiated, no procurement contact identified • 16 days to close makes paper process increasingly urgent |
International paper with Swiss entity = unpredictable timeline. 03-27 close requires paper to start immediately. Every week of delay risks missing close target. | 8 2×4 |
P6
P8
|
Caleb — initiate commercial conversation now; Conor — prepare MSA for Logitech Europe S.A. |
| R7 | Political |
Economic buyer (Kevin Yip) not directly engaged
Known |
• Kevin Yip = Head of Global DTC Platform Strategy — effective decision maker on Vercel spend (per Vercel partner intel 2/21) • Based in Irvine. Not yet engaged by Optimizely. • Caleb attempting LinkedIn outreach only — no response • Likely cares about revenue impact ($6.86M Year 1), consolidation execution, experimentation program maturity |
No EB engagement = no budget authority in the deal. Deepa can recommend but cannot commit budget. Deal cannot close without Kevin Yip. | 12 4×3 |
P2
P3
P7
|
Caleb — in-person visit Logitech San Jose; Conor — exec 1-pager for Kevin Yip; leverage Jordan Lillegard for warm intro |
| R8 | Political |
Internal SE dynamics creating friction
Known |
• Chris Vafiadis / Vafia gatekeeping identified as internal friction (2/13 internal sync) • SE team mishandled bucketing persistence issue • SDK v6 fix is SE-owned but not yet delivered |
SE misalignment could slow resolution of open POC items. Internal friction wastes cycles with only 16 days remaining to close target. | 6 3×2 |
P5
P10
|
Conor — manage SE coordination directly; escalate to SE leadership if no progress by 3/7 |